Today / Argentina - Primera C / Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español

Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 26 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 18:00

Sportivo Barracas

PPG 1.77 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Deportivo Español

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-113.3%0-25.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.2%1-113.1%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.5%2-16.4%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.8%3-12.1%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 36.4% 2.75 +5.9%

Draw 34.4% 33.9% 2.95 +1.5%

Away win 27.2% 40.0% 2.50 -19.2%

Over 2.5 34.6% 40.8% 2.45 -15.2%

Over 3.5 17.8% 22.2% 4.50 -11.9%

BTTS 42.4% 51.3% 1.95 -17.3%

Home O1.5 30.8% 33.3% 3.00 -7.6%

Away O1.5 20.5% 36.4% 2.75 -26.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob42.4%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%

#2 1–0 17.2%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1✓ 13.3%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportivo Barracas1.0

Deportivo Español0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTIVO BARRACAS · PPG 1.77

DEPORTIVO ESPAÑOL · PPG 1.33

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 1.74 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sportivo Barracas (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +5.9%

Draw 34.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +1.5%

Deportivo Español (A) 27.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportivo Barracas face Deportivo Español in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportivo Barracas a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Deportivo Español 27%, so Sportivo Barracas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sportivo Barracas and 0.8 for Deportivo Español (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportivo Barracas are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.33 for Deportivo Español. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera C Predictions