Today / Argentina - Primera C / Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza

Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 26 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 18:00

Sacachispas

PPG 2.08 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

JJ Urquiza

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWL

// Model verdict

Home 53% chance

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.6%0-17.6%0-21.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.3%1-19.5%1-21.8%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.1%2-15.9%2-21.1%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-06.2%3-12.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 18.0% — — —

Over 2.5 34.6% — — —

Over 3.5 17.2% — — —

BTTS 41.7% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 91 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 60%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 24.3%

#2 0–0 19.6%

#3 2–0 15.1%

#4 0–1 7.6%

#5 1–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sacachispas1.2

JJ Urquiza0.4

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SACACHISPAS · PPG 2.08

JJ URQUIZA · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

53%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sacachispas (H) 53.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

JJ Urquiza (A) 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sacachispas face JJ Urquiza in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sacachispas a 53% chance, the draw 29% and JJ Urquiza 18%, so Sacachispas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sacachispas and 0.4 for JJ Urquiza (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sacachispas are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 0.85 for JJ Urquiza. This match finished 2-1.

Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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