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Atletico Atlas vs General Lamadrid Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 18:00

Atletico Atlas

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWL

UPCOMING

General Lamadrid

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-111.6%0-24.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.5%1-112.9%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.7%2-17.2%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.6%3-12.7%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% 41.7% 2.40 +5.8%

Draw 31.3% 35.7% 2.80 -12.4%

Away win 24.6% 34.7% 2.88 -17.5%

Over 2.5 38.6% 38.2% 2.62 +1.1%

Over 3.5 18.5% 20.0% 5.00 -4.5%

BTTS 42.6% 44.4% 2.25 -4.2%

Home O1.5 31.0% 30.8% 3.25 +0.8%

Away O1.5 18.8% 26.7% 3.75 -17.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 91 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 60%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.6%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 0–0 15.7%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Atlas1.1

General Lamadrid0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO ATLAS · PPG 1.46

GENERAL LAMADRID · PPG 0.83

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

44%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Atlas (H) 44.1%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +5.8%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -12.4%

General Lamadrid (A) 24.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -17.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Atlas face General Lamadrid in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Atlas a 44% chance, the draw 31% and General Lamadrid 25%, so Atletico Atlas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Atletico Atlas and 0.7 for General Lamadrid (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Atlas are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.83 for General Lamadrid. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +11.8%.

Atletico Atlas vs General Lamadrid Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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