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Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 18:00

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDWW

UPCOMING

El Porvenir

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.8%0-113.5%0-24.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.9%1-112.9%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.5%2-16.1%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.7%3-12.0%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% 37.9% 2.64 +2.7%

Draw 31.8% 35.6% 2.81 -10.6%

Away win 29.2% 37.9% 2.64 -13.8%

Over 2.5 38.5% 39.7% 2.52 -3.0%

Over 3.5 18.5% 20.2% 4.95 -5.1%

BTTS 44.2% 47.8% 2.09 -7.6%

Home O1.5 30.8% 31.7% 3.15 -3.0%

Away O1.5 18.8% 31.7% 3.15 -24.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.2%

D 32% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.8%

#2 1–0 17.9%

#3 0–1 13.5%

#4 1–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Cordoba1.0

El Porvenir0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.33

EL PORVENIR · PPG 1.33

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 1.67 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Cordoba (H) 38.9%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV +2.7%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 2.81 · IMPLIED 35.6% EV -10.6%

El Porvenir (A) 29.2%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Cordoba face El Porvenir in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Cordoba a 39% chance, the draw 32% and El Porvenir 29%, so Central Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Central Cordoba and 0.7 for El Porvenir (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Cordoba are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for El Porvenir.

Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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