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Lujan vs Deportivo Muñiz Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:00

Lujan

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Deportivo Muñiz

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLL

// Model verdict

Home 52% chance

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-18.1%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.9%1-111.1%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-17.6%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.2%3-13.5%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.0% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 39.7% — — —

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 43.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.0% — — —

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 91 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 60%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.9%

#2 0–0 14.5%

#3 2–0 13.7%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lujan1.4

Deportivo Muñiz0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LUJAN · PPG 1.50

DEPORTIVO MUÑIZ · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lujan (H) 52.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Muñiz (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lujan face Deportivo Muñiz in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lujan a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Deportivo Muñiz 21%, so Lujan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lujan and 0.6 for Deportivo Muñiz (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lujan are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.92 for Deportivo Muñiz. This match finished 4-0.

Lujan vs Deportivo Muñiz Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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