Leagues / UKRAINE / Premier League
Premier League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 57 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
54.4%
1X2
31/57
63.2%
O/U 2.5
36/57
68.4%
BTTS
39/57
56.1%
Exact score
32/57
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
43
Settled
72.1%
Hit rate
31/43
1.62
Avg odds
+11.4%
ROI
+4.9u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=15 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.80 · +20.1% ROI
HOME WIN · N=11 81.8% HIT · AVG 1.46 · +11.4% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=11 63.6% HIT · AVG 1.56 · -10.9% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=6 83.3% HIT · AVG 1.55 · +30.3% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
5
Bets
60%
Hit
+13.6%
ROI
✓ Solid
6
Bets
100%
Hit
+43.2%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-4.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
27
Bets
70%
Hit
+6.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 13 PICKS · 7 HIT · 6 MISS
24 MAY Veres vs Metalist 1925 — NO PICK 0–1 —24 MAY Polessya vs Rukh Lviv Home -27% 2–0 HIT24 MAY Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy Away +6% 0–1 HIT24 MAY Dynamo Kyiv vs Kudrivka Over 2.5 -5% 3–2 HIT23 MAY Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR Away +32% 1–1 MISS23 MAY Episentr vs SK Poltava Over 2.5 -8% 0–0 MISS23 MAY Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya Luhansk BTTS -15% 1–2 HIT18 MAY Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya BTTS -1% 0–0 MISS18 MAY Kudrivka vs LNZ Cherkasy Away -2% 1–0 MISS17 MAY Rukh Lviv vs Oleksandria BTTS +1% 1–3 HIT17 MAY Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Over 2.5 -8% 2–3 HIT17 MAY Kolos Kovalivka vs Obolon Home +11% 0–2 MISS17 MAY Karpaty Lviv vs Veres — NO PICK 2–0 —16 MAY SK Poltava U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 Away -24% 0–2 HIT16 MAY Metalist 1925 vs Episentr Home -15% 1–1 MISS