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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Veres Rivne Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 15:00

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

Veres Rivne

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-19.7%0-24.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.7%1-112.8%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.5%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.3%3-13.8%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% 47.4% 2.11 -3.4%

Draw 28.7% 31.3% 3.20 -4.9%

Away win 25.5% 29.2% 3.42 -7.7%

Over 2.5 42.7% 45.7% 2.19 -6.5%

Over 3.5 21.4% 25.5% 3.92 -9.7%

BTTS 47.7% 53.2% 1.88 -10.3%

Home O1.5 37.9% 42.9% 2.33 -11.7%

Away O1.5 22.9% 29.8% 3.36 -13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 14.7%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.3

Veres Rivne0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR DUNAYIVTSI · PPG 1.30

VERES RIVNE · PPG 0.98

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 2.20 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (H) 45.8%

ODDS 2.11 · IMPLIED 47.4% EV -3.4%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.9%

Veres Rivne (A) 25.5%

ODDS 3.42 · IMPLIED 29.2% EV -7.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi face Veres Rivne in Ukraine - Premier League on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Veres Rivne 26%, so Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and 0.9 for Veres Rivne (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.98 for Veres Rivne.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Veres Rivne Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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