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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:30

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Obolon'-Brovar

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.8%0-24.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.0%1-26.8%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.3%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.2%3-14.8%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.5% 46.5% 2.15 +4.3%

Draw 24.4% 32.3% 3.10 -14.6%

Away win 27.1% 31.3% 3.20 -8.0%

Over 2.5 53.4% 45.5% 2.20 +17.5%

Over 3.5 32.2% 25.0% 4.00 +28.8%

BTTS 55.4% 54.1% 1.85 +2.5%

Home O1.5 45.4% 43.5% 2.30 +4.4%

Away O1.5 36.5% 33.3% 3.00 +9.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 25.0%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 0–0 6.8%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.5

Obolon'-Brovar1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR DUNAYIVTSI · PPG 1.22

OBOLON'-BROVAR · PPG 1.17

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (H) 48.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +4.3%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.6%

Obolon'-Brovar (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi face Obolon'-Brovar in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Obolon'-Brovar 27%, so Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and 1.1 for Obolon'-Brovar (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.17 for Obolon'-Brovar. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +28.8%.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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