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Polessya vs FC Kharkiv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 12:30

Polessya

PPG 1.74 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

FC Kharkiv

PPG 1.61 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-112.3%0-25.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.9%1-113.5%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.6%2-17.4%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.8%3-12.7%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.3% — — —

Draw 29.8% — — —

Away win 29.9% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 26.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.3%

H 40% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 13.9%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polessya1.1

FC Kharkiv1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

POLESSYA · PPG 1.74

FC KHARKIV · PPG 1.61

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 2.07 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Polessya (H) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Kharkiv (A) 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Polessya face FC Kharkiv in Ukraine - Premier League on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polessya a 40% chance, the draw 30% and FC Kharkiv 30%, so Polessya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Polessya and 1.0 for FC Kharkiv (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polessya are averaging 1.74 points per game versus 1.61 for FC Kharkiv. This match finished 3-1.

Polessya vs FC Kharkiv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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