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Kudrivka vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 10:00

Kudrivka logo
Kudrivka
PPG 1.38 · HOME
LAST 5
LDDL ·
0 – 3
FULL TIME
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi logo
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
PPG 1.22 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLDW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-111.9%0-27.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.8%1-113.2%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.9%2-17.3%2-24.4%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.2%3-12.7%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 31.3% 33.3% 3.00 -6.1%
Draw 27.2% 33.3% 3.00 -11.0%
Away win 41.5% 43.5% 2.30 -4.5%
Over 2.5 45.5% 44.4% 2.25 +2.4%
Over 3.5 27.4% 25.0% 4.00 +5.8%
BTTS 50.1% 52.4% 1.91 -4.3%
Home O1.5 30.9% 30.8% 3.25 +0.4%
Away O1.5 36.6% 38.2% 2.62 -4.1%

League track record

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 65%
BTTS 65%
Score Hit 52%
ROI 13.9%
Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-3
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob50.1%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%
#2 0–1 11.9%
#3 0–0 9.7%
#4 1–2 8.1%
#5 1–0 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kudrivka1.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KUDRIVKA · PPG 1.38

EPITSENTR DUNAYIVTSI · PPG 1.22

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value
65%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.12, combined xG 2.33 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kudrivka (H) 31.3%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.1%
Draw 27.2%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.0%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (A) 41.5%
ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kudrivka face Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kudrivka a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 42%, so Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kudrivka and 1.2 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kudrivka are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.22 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 0-3.

PredictVantage

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