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Veres Rivne vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 15:00

Veres Rivne

PPG 1.22 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Dynamo Kyiv

PPG 1.74 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 45.5% — a clear edge.

+16.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-112.2%0-210.2%0-35.7%0-4+3.4%1 1-06.9%1-111.6%1-29.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.3%2-15.5%2-24.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.0%3-11.7%3-21.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% 10.3% 9.75 +84.5%

Draw 24.9% 21.1% 4.75 +11.0%

Away win 50.5% 78.1% 1.28 -35.4%

Over 2.5 53.4% 56.5% 1.77 -5.5%

Over 3.5 31.9% 33.9% 2.95 -5.9%

BTTS 53.1% 45.5% 2.20 +16.8%

Home O1.5 32.1% 16.7% 6.00 +92.6%

Away O1.5 48.2% 70.4% 1.42 -31.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob53.1%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 0–1 12.2%

#3 0–2 10.2%

#4 1–2✓ 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veres Rivne0.9

Dynamo Kyiv1.7

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VERES RIVNE · PPG 1.22

DYNAMO KYIV · PPG 1.74

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.72 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Veres Rivne (H) 24.7%

ODDS 9.75 · IMPLIED 10.3% EV +84.5%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +11.0%

Dynamo Kyiv (A) 50.5%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -35.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Veres Rivne face Dynamo Kyiv in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veres Rivne a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Dynamo Kyiv 51%, so Dynamo Kyiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Veres Rivne and 1.7 for Dynamo Kyiv (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veres Rivne are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.74 for Dynamo Kyiv. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +92.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Veres Rivne vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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