Leagues / SWITZERLAND / Challenge League
Challenge League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 28 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
64.3%
1X2
18/28
92.9%
O/U 2.5
26/28
78.6%
BTTS
22/28
39.3%
Exact score
11/28
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
26
Settled
92.3%
Hit rate
24/26
1.51
Avg odds
+38.5%
ROI
+10.0u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=15 93.3% HIT · AVG 1.50 · +39.7% ROI
BTTS · N=9 88.9% HIT · AVG 1.51 · +33.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.68 · +68.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.35 · +35.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+57.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+26.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
19
Bets
95%
Hit
+41.4%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 14 HIT · 1 MISS
15 MAY Rapperswil vs Stade Nyonnais BTTS -25% 2–1 HIT15 MAY Lausanne Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax Over 2.5 -15% 2–1 HIT15 MAY Etoile Carouge vs Bellinzona Over 2.5 -11% 2–2 HIT15 MAY Aarau vs Yverdon Over 2.5 -10% 2–2 HIT11 MAY Bellinzona vs Wil BTTS -9% 2–4 HIT11 MAY Neuchatel Xamax vs Etoile Carouge Over 2.5 -10% 3–0 HIT11 MAY Yverdon vs Rapperswil Over 2.5 -3% 3–1 HIT11 MAY Vaduz vs Aarau Over 2.5 -5% 1–2 HIT11 MAY Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy BTTS -20% 1–3 HIT8 MAY Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Home -22% 5–1 HIT8 MAY Etoile Carouge vs Vaduz BTTS -19% 1–2 HIT8 MAY Lausanne Ouchy vs Bellinzona Over 2.5 -11% 5–0 HIT8 MAY Rapperswil vs Neuchatel Xamax Over 2.5 -10% 2–3 HIT8 MAY Wil vs Yverdon Over 2.5 -6% 0–1 MISS3 MAY Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge BTTS -7% 3–5 HIT