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SC Kriens vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Matchday 7 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:30

SC Kriens

PPG 1.69 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

UPCOMING

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

PPG 1.49 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-19.2%0-25.6%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.3%1-112.6%1-27.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-18.6%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.2%3-13.9%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.8%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.3% 35.7% 2.80 +15.6%

Draw 26.3% 27.8% 3.60 -3.2%

Away win 32.3% 46.5% 2.15 -30.6%

Over 2.5 52.6% 66.7% 1.50 -21.1%

Over 3.5 31.6% 45.5% 2.20 -30.5%

BTTS 54.6% 70.4% 1.42 -22.5%

Home O1.5 39.5% 50.0% 2.00 -21.0%

Away O1.5 36.8% 57.1% 1.75 -35.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 41% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 0–0 7.6%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Kriens1.4

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SC KRIENS · PPG 1.69

STADE LAUSANNE-OUCHY · PPG 1.49

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

SC Kriens (H) 41.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +15.6%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -3.2%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (A) 32.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Kriens face Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in Switzerland - Challenge League on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Kriens a 41% chance, the draw 26% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 32%, so SC Kriens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for SC Kriens and 1.2 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Kriens are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.49 for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.

SC Kriens vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Match Preview & Prediction

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