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Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Regular Season - 2 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:30

Stade Nyonnais

PPG 1.21 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rapperswil

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.0%0-25.2%0-33.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.7%1-19.8%1-28.5%1-34.9%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.6%2-18.0%2-26.9%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.5%3-14.3%3-23.7%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.5%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 41.7% 2.40 -4.2%

Draw 23.1% 27.4% 3.65 -9.4%

Away win 36.9% 41.7% 2.40 -11.4%

Over 2.5 63.7% 67.6% 1.48 -5.7%

Over 3.5 40.6% 45.5% 2.20 -10.7%

BTTS 63.5% 71.4% 1.40 -11.1%

Home O1.5 49.4% 54.6% 1.83 -9.6%

Away O1.5 48.0% 54.6% 1.83 -12.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 93%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

A 37% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stade Nyonnais1.6

Rapperswil1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STADE NYONNAIS · PPG 1.21

RAPPERSWIL · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stade Nyonnais (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -4.2%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -9.4%

Rapperswil (A) 36.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stade Nyonnais face Rapperswil in Switzerland - Challenge League on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stade Nyonnais a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Rapperswil 37%, so Stade Nyonnais are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stade Nyonnais and 1.7 for Rapperswil (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stade Nyonnais are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.21 for Rapperswil.

Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Match Preview & Prediction

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