Today / Switzerland - Challenge League / FC WIL 1900 vs Neuchatel Xamax FC

FC WIL 1900 vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Regular Season - 2 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:30

FC WIL 1900

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Neuchatel Xamax FC

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 70.3% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-13.5%0-23.2%0-32.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-04.0%1-17.4%1-26.8%1-34.2%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.0%3-15.6%3-25.2%3-33.2%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-14.9%4+-24.5%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 45.5% 2.20 -0.1%

Draw 21.9% 27.8% 3.60 -12.7%

Away win 32.8% 36.4% 2.75 -9.8%

Over 2.5 67.0% 66.7% 1.50 +0.5%

Over 3.5 47.4% 44.4% 2.25 +6.7%

BTTS 70.3% 70.4% 1.42 -0.2%

Home O1.5 60.1% 55.6% 1.80 +8.2%

Away O1.5 50.0% 50.0% 2.00 0.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 93%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob70.3%

H 45% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC WIL 19002.1

Neuchatel Xamax FC1.8

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FC WIL 1900 · PPG 1.25

NEUCHATEL XAMAX FC · PPG 1.17

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FC WIL 1900 (H) 45.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.1%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.7%

Neuchatel Xamax FC (A) 32.8%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC WIL 1900 face Neuchatel Xamax FC in Switzerland - Challenge League on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC WIL 1900 a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Neuchatel Xamax FC 33%, so FC WIL 1900 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC WIL 1900 and 1.8 for Neuchatel Xamax FC (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC WIL 1900 are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.17 for Neuchatel Xamax FC. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +8.2%.

FC WIL 1900 vs Neuchatel Xamax FC Prediction— Switzerland - Challenge League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - Challenge League Predictions