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Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 17:00

Puskas Academy

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Ferencvarosi TC

PPG 1.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.1%0-25.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.4%1-111.7%1-28.2%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-18.5%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.0%3-14.1%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.1% 29.4% 3.40 +43.1%

Draw 23.6% 27.4% 3.65 -8.3%

Away win 34.3% 52.1% 1.92 -34.1%

Over 2.5 58.6% 61.7% 1.62 -5.1%

Over 3.5 36.0% 39.2% 2.55 -8.2%

BTTS 59.9% 65.4% 1.53 -8.3%

Home O1.5 40.1% 40.0% 2.50 +0.3%

Away O1.5 40.9% 56.5% 1.77 -27.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -20.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.9%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2✓ 8.2%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puskas Academy1.5

Ferencvarosi TC1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PUSKAS ACADEMY · PPG 1.36

FERENCVAROSI TC · PPG 1.87

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puskas Academy (H) 42.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +43.1%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -8.3%

Ferencvarosi TC (A) 34.3%

ODDS 1.92 · IMPLIED 52.1% EV -34.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Puskas Academy face Ferencvarosi TC in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puskas Academy a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Ferencvarosi TC 34%, so Puskas Academy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Puskas Academy and 1.4 for Ferencvarosi TC (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puskas Academy are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.87 for Ferencvarosi TC. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +27.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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