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Gyori ETO FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 15:30

Gyori ETO FC

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWD

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Zalaegerszegi TE

PPG 0.96 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-12.7%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.0%1-17.1%1-23.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-19.2%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-17.9%3-23.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.8%4+-19.6%4+-24.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.6% 66.7% 1.50 +1.4%

Draw 16.4% 23.8% 4.20 -18.7%

Away win 16.1% 20.0% 5.00 -11.7%

Over 2.5 65.0% 67.6% 1.48 -3.8%

Over 3.5 43.5% 45.5% 2.20 -4.3%

BTTS 54.7% 63.7% 1.57 -14.1%

Home O1.5 65.1% 69.4% 1.44 -6.3%

Away O1.5 22.8% 30.8% 3.25 -15.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -20.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.7%

H 68% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–0✓ 8.9%

#4 1–1 7.1%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO FC2.6

Zalaegerszegi TE0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO FC · PPG 2.09

ZALAEGERSZEGI TE · PPG 0.96

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 2.09 vs 0.96 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO FC (H) 67.6%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV +1.4%

Draw 16.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -18.7%

Zalaegerszegi TE (A) 16.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO FC face Zalaegerszegi TE in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO FC a 68% chance, the draw 16% and Zalaegerszegi TE 16%, so Gyori ETO FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Gyori ETO FC and 0.9 for Zalaegerszegi TE (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO FC are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.96 for Zalaegerszegi TE. This match finished 3-0.

Gyori ETO FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB I Predictions