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Gyori ETO FC vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 3 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 17:30

Gyori ETO FC

PPG 2.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWD

UPCOMING

Ferencvarosi TC

PPG 2.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.5%0-23.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.3%1-111.2%1-26.1%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.7%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.1%3-15.6%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.6%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% 24.4% 4.10 +105.8%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 25.5% 57.5% 1.74 -33.4%

Over 2.5 53.8% 64.5% 1.55 -16.6%

Over 3.5 31.7% 43.5% 2.30 -27.1%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 49.9% 37.7% 2.65 +32.2%

Away O1.5 33.0% 62.5% 1.60 -47.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -20.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 50% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO FC1.7

Ferencvarosi TC1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO FC · PPG 2.22

FERENCVAROSI TC · PPG 2.01

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO FC (H) 50.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +105.8%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Ferencvarosi TC (A) 25.5%

ODDS 1.74 · IMPLIED 57.5% EV -33.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO FC face Ferencvarosi TC in Hungary - NB I on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO FC a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Ferencvarosi TC 26%, so Gyori ETO FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gyori ETO FC and 1.1 for Ferencvarosi TC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO FC are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 2.01 for Ferencvarosi TC. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +81.9%.

Gyori ETO FC vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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