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Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 15:30

Debreceni VSC

PPG 1.15 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Nyiregyhaza

PPG 0.97 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.3%0-23.9%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.6%1-19.8%1-27.2%1-33.6%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.8%3-15.6%3-24.1%3-32.0%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.0%4+-22.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.7% 44.6% 2.24 +9.1%

Draw 23.7% 29.4% 3.40 -11.7%

Away win 27.6% 35.0% 2.86 -12.6%

Over 2.5 61.3% 55.6% 1.80 +10.3%

Over 3.5 38.9% 33.9% 2.95 +14.8%

BTTS 61.8% 62.5% 1.60 -1.1%

Home O1.5 55.4% 47.6% 2.10 +16.3%

Away O1.5 45.5% 40.8% 2.45 +11.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.8%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Debreceni VSC1.9

Nyiregyhaza1.5

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DEBRECENI VSC · PPG 1.15

NYIREGYHAZA · PPG 0.97

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Debreceni VSC (H) 48.7%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV +9.1%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.7%

Nyiregyhaza (A) 27.6%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV -12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Debreceni VSC face Nyiregyhaza in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Debreceni VSC a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Nyiregyhaza 28%, so Debreceni VSC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Debreceni VSC and 1.5 for Nyiregyhaza (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Debreceni VSC are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.97 for Nyiregyhaza. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +16.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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