| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 4 | 50.0% | −1375.0% |
| B | 4 | 25.0% | −5750.0% |
| F | 5 | 60.0% | −60.0% |
| Unrated | 3 | 66.7% | +0.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | 7 | 71.4% | +2143.0% |
| Home | 7 | 28.6% | −5971.0% |
| BTTS | 2 | 50.0% | −1000.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @65% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @32% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @36% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @9% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | Best EV: Over2.5 @8% | 1 | 100.0% | +8300.0% |
| ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV: Away @29% | 1 | 100.0% | +8000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @53% | 1 | 100.0% | +6500.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 100.0% | +1700.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @20% | 1 | 100.0% | +6500.0% |
| ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV: Home @79% | 1 | 100.0% | +6200.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | Best EV: Draw @13% | 1 | 100.0% | +7000.0% |
| ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | Best EV: Home @30% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value | 1 | 100.0% | +7000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @31% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Lille vs Auxerre | Home | -27% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 17 May | Lorient vs Le Havre | BTTS | -14% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 17 May | Lyon vs Lens | BTTS | -15% EV | 0-4 | MISS |
| 17 May | Marseille vs Rennes | Over 2.5 | -1% EV | 3-1 | HIT |
| 17 May | Nice vs Metz | Over 2.5 | -5% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 17 May | Paris FC vs Paris SG | Over 2.5 | -16% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 17 May | Strasbourg vs Monaco | BTTS | -18% EV | 5-4 | HIT |
| 13 May | Lens vs Paris SG | BTTS | -19% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 10 May | Angers vs Strasbourg | BTTS | -9% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 10 May | Rennes vs Paris FC | Over 2.5 | -11% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 10 May | Monaco vs Lille | Over 2.5 | -3% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 10 May | Toulouse vs Lyon | BTTS | -6% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 10 May | Auxerre vs Nice | BTTS | -13% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 10 May | Le Havre vs Marseille | BTTS | -15% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 10 May | Metz vs Lorient | Over 2.5 | 1% EV | 0-4 | HIT |
| 8 May | Lens vs Nantes | Home | -14% EV | 1-0 | HIT |
| 3 May | Lille vs Le Havre | Home | -24% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 3 May | Auxerre vs Angers | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| 3 May | Strasbourg vs Toulouse | BTTS | -5% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 3 May | Lyon vs Rennes | BTTS | -12% EV | 4-2 | HIT |
| 2 May | Nantes vs Marseille | BTTS | -7% EV | 3-0 | MISS |
| 2 May | Paris SG vs Lorient | Home | -13% EV | 2-2 | MISS |
| 2 May | Metz vs Monaco | BTTS | -6% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 2 May | Nice vs Lens | BTTS | -6% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Lorient vs Strasbourg | Over 2.5 | 0% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Paris FC vs Lille | Over 2.5 | 8% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Rennes vs Nantes | Home | -12% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Le Havre vs Metz | Over 2.5 | -8% EV | 4-4 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Marseille vs Nice | Home | 3% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Lyon vs Auxerre | Home | 20% EV | 3-2 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Angers vs Paris SG | Away | -23% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Toulouse vs Monaco | Over 2.5 | 7% EV | 2-2 | HIT |
| 22 Apr | Paris SG vs Nantes | Home | 5% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Monaco vs Auxerre | Home | 9% EV | 2-2 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Metz vs Paris FC | BTTS | -2% EV | 1-3 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Nantes vs Brest | BTTS | 0% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Strasbourg vs Rennes | Over 2.5 | 15% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Paris SG vs Lyon | Home | -8% EV | 1-2 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Lorient vs Marseille | Over 2.5 | 16% EV | 2-0 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Angers vs Le Havre | — | — | 1-1 | — |
| 18 Apr | Lille vs Nice | Home | 23% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 17 Apr | Lens vs Toulouse | BTTS | -8% EV | 3-2 | HIT |