Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 1 Regular Season - 34 Stade de la Meinau· Strasbourg Sunday, May 17, 2026 19:00

Strasbourg PPG 1.69

5-4 MISS

Monaco PPG 1.38

Home· +40.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.7%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +40.3%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -0.3%

Away 25.8%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -26.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.44 -14.9%

Over 3.5 36.4% Odds: 2.10 -23.6%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.38 -17.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Strasbourg

1.74

Monaco

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-17.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -18.0%

Bet Hit 50% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)