1. Division

DENMARK · 58 MATCHES TRACKED · 17 APR 2026 – 4 SEPT 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

Upcoming 1. Division predictions

3 FIXTURES WITH ODDS · MODEL PICK, PROBABILITY AND EV PER MATCH

DateMatchPickProbOddsEV

4 SEPT16:00 Vejle vs Vendsyssel FF Over 2.5 64% 1.50 -4%4 SEPT16:00 Hobro vs Hvidovre BTTS 54% 1.60 -14%4 SEPT17:00 HB Koge vs Hillerød BTTS 56% 1.50 -16%

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 55 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

50.9%

1X2

28/55

61.8%

O/U 2.5

34/55

63.6%

BTTS

35/55

36.4%

Exact score

20/55

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

77.8%

Hit rate

7/9

1.69

Avg odds

+29.9%

ROI

+2.7u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.72 · -16.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.63 · +63.3% ROI

BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +73.0% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.70 · +70.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+29.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+70.7%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

60%

Hit

+5.6%

ROI

Match log

55 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 11 PICKS · 8 HIT · 3 MISS

30 AUG Hillerød vs Hobro BTTS -6% 3–1 HIT 29 AUG Aalborg vs HB Koge BTTS -14% 0–0 MISS 23 AUG HB Koge vs Kolding IF BTTS -17% 2–2 HIT 21 AUG Hobro vs Aalborg BTTS -18% 2–1 HIT 15 AUG Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad BTTS -5% 1–1 HIT 15 AUG Esbjerg vs Hobro BTTS -19% 1–2 HIT 15 AUG HB Koge vs Hvidovre BTTS -19% 0–2 MISS 9 AUG Hvidovre vs Esbjerg BTTS -5% 2–1 HIT 9 AUG Aalborg vs Kolding IF — NO PICK 1–1 —8 AUG Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge HO1.5 3–1 HIT 1 AUG Hillerød vs Esbjerg BTTS -21% 2–3 HIT 1 AUG Kolding IF vs Hvidovre BTTS -9% 0–1 MISS

July 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS

31 JUL Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg BTTS -17% 1–2 HIT

May 2026 // 2 PICKS · 2 HIT · 0 MISS

31 MAY Hillerod vs Hvidovre BTTS -19% 2–1 HIT 31 MAY AC Horsens vs Kolding IF Home -25% 1–0 HIT