Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Hillerod vs Hvidovre

Hillerod vs Hvidovre Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 32 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Hillerod logo
Hillerod
PPG 1.73 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Hvidovre logo
Hvidovre
PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.6%0-26.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.7%1-113.3%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.7%2-17.6%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.0% 38.8% 2.58 -7.1%
Draw 27.8% 29.0% 3.45 -2.5%
Away win 36.2% 41.3% 2.42 -12.4%
Over 2.5 47.6% 58.8% 1.70 -19.1%
Over 3.5 27.9% 36.4% 2.75 -14.0%
BTTS 52.0% 64.5% 1.55 -19.4%
Home O1.5 31.8% 45.5% 2.20 -30.0%
Away O1.5 31.3% 47.6% 2.10 -34.3%

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -5.4%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.0%

H 36% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%
#2 0–0 10.2%
#3 1–0 11.7%
#4 0–1 11.6%
#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hillerod1.1
Hvidovre1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HILLEROD · PPG 1.73

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Hillerod (H) 36.0%
ODDS 2.58 · IMPLIED 38.8% EV -7.1%
Draw 27.8%
ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -2.5%
Hvidovre (A) 36.2%
ODDS 2.42 · IMPLIED 41.3% EV -12.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hillerod face Hvidovre in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hillerod a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Hvidovre 36%, so Hvidovre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hillerod and 1.1 for Hvidovre (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hillerod are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.67 for Hvidovre. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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