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Vejle vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Matchday 7 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 16:00

Vejle

PPG 1.81 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWD

UPCOMING

Vendsyssel FF

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.8%0-23.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.8%1-19.5%1-26.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-19.4%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.5%3-16.2%3-24.3%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% 65.4% 1.53 -24.1%

Draw 23.0% 23.8% 4.20 -2.0%

Away win 27.4% 19.6% 5.10 +23.8%

Over 2.5 63.7% 65.4% 1.53 -2.5%

Over 3.5 40.4% 43.5% 2.30 -7.1%

BTTS 61.5% 63.7% 1.57 -3.4%

Home O1.5 55.8% 67.6% 1.48 -17.4%

Away O1.5 42.2% 33.3% 3.00 +26.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

ROI 29.9%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.5%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 6.6%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vejle2.0

Vendsyssel FF1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VEJLE · PPG 1.81

VENDSYSSEL FF · PPG 1.56

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vejle (H) 49.6%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -24.1%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -2.0%

Vendsyssel FF (A) 27.4%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vejle face Vendsyssel FF in Denmark - 1. Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vejle a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Vendsyssel FF 27%, so Vejle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Vejle and 1.4 for Vendsyssel FF (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vejle are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.56 for Vendsyssel FF. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +29.5%.

Vejle vs Vendsyssel FF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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