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Aalborg vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 12:00

Aalborg

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Kolding IF

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-18.5%0-23.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.8%1-112.2%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-18.7%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.4%3-14.2%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 51.8% 1.93 -9.1%

Draw 31.3% 28.2% 3.55 +11.1%

Away win 21.6% 29.0% 3.45 -15.3%

Over 2.5 44.0% 57.8% 1.73 -23.9%

Over 3.5 22.0% 35.1% 2.85 -22.4%

BTTS 48.0% 62.5% 1.60 -23.2%

Home O1.5 45.4% 54.1% 1.85 -16.0%

Away O1.5 17.9% 36.4% 2.75 -30.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 29.9%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.0%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.2%

#2 1–0 15.8%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 11.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aalborg1.4

Kolding IF0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AALBORG · PPG 2.00

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.04

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Aalborg (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.93 · IMPLIED 51.8% EV -9.1%

Draw 31.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +11.1%

Kolding IF (A) 21.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aalborg face Kolding IF in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aalborg a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Kolding IF 22%, so Aalborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Aalborg and 0.8 for Kolding IF (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aalborg are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.04 for Kolding IF. This match finished 1-1.

Aalborg vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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