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AC Horsens vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 32 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

AC Horsens

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kolding IF

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 50.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-19.2%0-23.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.1%1-112.6%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-18.7%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.1% 66.7% 1.50 -24.9%

Draw 27.0% 26.3% 3.80 +1.6%

Away win 22.9% 16.0% 6.25 +25.9%

Over 2.5 46.6% 51.8% 1.93 -10.1%

Over 3.5 27.7% 29.9% 3.35 -4.3%

BTTS 47.2% 51.3% 1.95 -8.0%

Home O1.5 39.9% 58.8% 1.70 -32.2%

Away O1.5 20.4% 21.1% 4.75 -1.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0✓ 15.1%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AC Horsens1.4

Kolding IF0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AC HORSENS · PPG 1.67

KOLDING IF · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

AC Horsens (H) 50.1%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -24.9%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +1.6%

Kolding IF (A) 22.9%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +25.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

AC Horsens face Kolding IF in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AC Horsens a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Kolding IF 23%, so AC Horsens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for AC Horsens and 0.8 for Kolding IF (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AC Horsens are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.87 for Kolding IF. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.9%. This match finished 1-0.

AC Horsens vs Kolding IF Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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