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Londrina vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 25 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 22:30

Londrina

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Juventude

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.7%0-115.5%0-27.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.6%1-113.4%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.9%2-15.8%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.7%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 31.7% 3.15 -3.6%

Draw 32.1% 34.2% 2.92 -6.3%

Away win 37.3% 41.0% 2.44 -9.0%

Over 2.5 38.8% 39.2% 2.55 -1.1%

Over 3.5 18.5% 20.0% 5.00 -4.5%

BTTS 47.0% 48.8% 2.05 -3.6%

Home O1.5 30.8% 29.0% 3.45 +6.3%

Away O1.5 28.4% 35.7% 2.80 -12.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 171 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.0%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.7%

#2 0–1 15.5%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 1–0 13.6%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Londrina0.9

Juventude1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LONDRINA · PPG 1.18

JUVENTUDE · PPG 1.36

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.11, combined xG 1.85 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Londrina (H) 30.6%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -3.6%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -6.3%

Juventude (A) 37.3%

ODDS 2.44 · IMPLIED 41.0% EV -9.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Londrina face Juventude in Brazil - Serie B on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Londrina a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Juventude 37%, so Juventude are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Londrina and 1.0 for Juventude (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Londrina are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.36 for Juventude. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Londrina vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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