Today / Brazil - Serie B / Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 24 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 22:30

Atletico Goianiense

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Botafogo SP

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-111.9%0-25.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.2%1-113.3%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.5%2-17.5%2-23.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.5% 47.2% 2.12 -16.3%

Draw 30.7% 32.3% 3.10 -4.8%

Away win 29.8% 27.0% 3.70 +6.2%

Over 2.5 40.6% 40.8% 2.45 -0.5%

Over 3.5 20.7% 21.1% 4.75 -1.0%

BTTS 47.2% 48.8% 2.05 -3.2%

Home O1.5 31.1% 40.8% 2.45 -23.8%

Away O1.5 25.6% 26.3% 3.80 -1.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 171 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

D 31% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.5%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Goianiense1.1

Botafogo SP0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO GOIANIENSE · PPG 1.58

BOTAFOGO SP · PPG 1.08

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 2.00 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Goianiense (H) 39.5%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV -16.3%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.8%

Botafogo SP (A) 29.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Goianiense face Botafogo SP in Brazil - Serie B on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Goianiense a 40% chance, the draw 31% and Botafogo SP 30%, so Atletico Goianiense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Atletico Goianiense and 0.9 for Botafogo SP (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Goianiense are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.08 for Botafogo SP. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 3-0.

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie B Predictions