Leagues / AZERBAIJAN / Premyer Liqa
Premyer Liqa
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
Upcoming Premyer Liqa predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT14:00 Qabala vs Imisli FK — NO PICK — — —4 SEPT16:15 Kapaz vs Şamaxı FK — NO PICK — — —// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 41 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
56.1%
1X2
23/41
53.7%
O/U 2.5
22/41
58.5%
BTTS
24/41
65.9%
Exact score
27/41
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
5
Settled
80.0%
Hit rate
4/5
2.10
Avg odds
+71.0%
ROI
+3.5u
Picks by market
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.08 · +10.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.35 · +135.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · +105.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.95 · +95.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+120.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-2.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 7 PICKS · 2 HIT · 5 MISS
31 AUG Araz vs Sabah FA BTTS -10% 0–1 MISS31 AUG Sumqayıt vs Qarabag BTTS -4% 0–1 MISS30 AUG Kapaz vs Turan Away -29% 1–0 MISS30 AUG Zira vs Neftchi Baku BTTS -3% 1–0 MISS29 AUG Qabala vs Şamaxı FK — NO PICK 0–0 —23 AUG Turan vs Şamaxı FK Home -20% 0–0 MISS23 AUG Neftchi Baku vs Araz HO1.5 5–0 HIT22 AUG Zira vs Imisli FK — NO PICK 3–1 —17 AUG Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK Home -20% 3–1 HIT