Araz vs Zira Prediction & Tips

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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 33 SOCAR Polymer Arena· Sumqayit Saturday, May 23, 2026 15:00

Araz PPG 1.63

3-2 MISS

Zira PPG 1.60

Home· +10.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.1%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +10.4%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.2%

Away 41.8%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -18.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.05 -2.4%

Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: 3.65 -9.4%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Araz

1.08

Zira

1.37

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.60)