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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa
Regular Season - 33
Şəhər stadionu· Tovuz
Saturday, May 23, 2026
11:00
Kapaz
PPG 0.87
0-1
HIT CS2
Neftci
PPG 2.00
Away· -3.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
14.2%
Odds: 5.10
EV: -16.6%
Draw
24.3%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -4.6%
Away
61.5%
Odds: 1.57
EV: -3.4%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.70
-10.6%
Over 3.5
27.4%
Odds: 2.70
-15.6%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.67
-17.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✘
2nd
0-1
✔
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kapaz
0.71
Neftci
1.94
Model Suggestion
Away
-3.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -3.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.87)