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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 33 Şəhər stadionu· Tovuz Saturday, May 23, 2026 11:00
Kapaz logo Kapaz PPG 0.87
0-1 HIT CS2
Neftci logo Neftci PPG 2.00
Away· -3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.2%
Odds: 5.10 EV: -16.6%
Draw 24.3%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -4.6%
Away 61.5%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -3.4%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%
Over 3.5 27.4% Odds: 2.70 -15.6%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.67 -17.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Kapaz
0.71
Neftci
1.94

Model Suggestion

Away -3.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -3.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.87)

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