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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 32 Bank Respublika Arena Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Sabah logo Sabah PPG 2.25
1-2 MISS
Neftci logo Neftci PPG 1.93
Away· -2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.9%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -9.9%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -7.3%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -2.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.77 -6.9%
Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: 2.95 -12.9%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.67 -13.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Sabah
1.66
Neftci
0.95

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 23.6%
Bet Hit 57% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.93)

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