Leagues / AUSTRIA / Regionalliga - Ost
Regionalliga - Ost
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Regionalliga - Ost predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT17:10 Favoritner AC vs Leobendorf BTTS 53% 1.56 -17%4 SEPT17:30 Oberwart vs Donau HO1.5 — — —4 SEPT17:30 Wiener SC vs Fach-Donaufeld Over 2.5 60% 1.53 -9%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 75 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
42.7%
1X2
32/75
58.7%
O/U 2.5
44/75
56.0%
BTTS
42/75
24.0%
Exact score
18/75
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
11
Settled
36.4%
Hit rate
4/11
1.52
Avg odds
-47.0%
ROI
-5.2u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · -9.4% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.54 · -100.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.29 · -35.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.83 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
5
Bets
20%
Hit
-74.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-21.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-26.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
1 SEPT SV Horn vs Parndorf BTTS 0–1 MISSAugust 2026 // 13 PICKS · 7 HIT · 6 MISS
29 AUG Wiener Viktoria vs Gloggnitz BTTS 1–1 HIT29 AUG Leobendorf vs Oberwart BTTS -14% 0–1 MISS28 AUG Parndorf vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf BTTS 1–4 HIT28 AUG Donau vs Traiskirchen Over 2.5 -4% 1–1 MISS28 AUG Krems / Rehberg vs SV Horn BTTS -28% 0–1 MISS22 AUG Gloggnitz vs Parndorf Over 2.5 +1% 0–2 MISS21 AUG Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Krems / Rehberg Over 2.5 3–1 HIT21 AUG Favoritner AC vs Fach-Donaufeld BTTS -22% 0–1 MISS21 AUG Wiener SC vs Wiener Viktoria HO1.5 3–0 HIT21 AUG Traiskirchen vs Leobendorf BTTS -20% 5–4 HIT21 AUG SV Horn vs Donau HO1.5 1–1 MISS15 AUG Donau vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf BTTS 1–4 HIT14 AUG Fach-Donaufeld vs Oberwart BTTS -23% 1–4 HIT14 AUG Leobendorf vs SV Horn — NO PICK 0–0 —