Leagues / AUSTRIA / Regionalliga - Ost
Regionalliga - Ost
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 48 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
45.8%
1X2
22/48
66.7%
O/U 2.5
32/48
52.1%
BTTS
25/48
12.5%
Exact score
6/48
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
36
Settled
63.9%
Hit rate
23/36
1.46
Avg odds
-8.5%
ROI
-3.0u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=17 82.4% HIT · AVG 1.48 · +20.8% ROI
BTTS · N=8 62.5% HIT · AVG 1.53 · -4.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=7 28.6% HIT · AVG 1.41 · -66.6% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.35 · -63.7% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.30 · +30.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
6
Bets
50%
Hit
-35.2%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
80%
Hit
+18.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
25
Bets
64%
Hit
-7.4%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
June 2026 // 7 PICKS · 7 HIT · 0 MISS
6 JUN Retz vs Favoritner AC BTTS -17% 2–1 HIT6 JUN Gloggnitz vs Wiener SC Over 2.5 -11% 1–6 HIT5 JUN TWL Elektra vs SV Horn AO1.5 1–5 HIT5 JUN Oberwart vs Kremser BTTS -12% 5–2 HIT3 JUN Leobendorf vs Traiskirchen Over 2.5 -14% 5–1 HIT3 JUN Neusiedl vs Wiener Viktoria Over 2.5 -15% 2–5 HIT3 JUN Donau vs Parndorf Over 2.5 -14% 2–5 HITMay 2026 // 8 PICKS · 4 HIT · 4 MISS
30 MAY Union Mauer vs Retz Home -24% 1–2 MISS30 MAY Wiener Viktoria vs Oberwart Over 2.5 -8% 2–2 HIT29 MAY Donaufeld vs TWL Elektra HO1.5 4–2 HIT29 MAY Favoritner AC vs Gloggnitz BTTS -10% 4–0 MISS29 MAY Wiener SC vs Leobendorf BTTS -23% 3–0 MISS29 MAY Kremser vs Donau Over 2.5 +1% 5–1 HIT28 MAY Traiskirchen vs Neusiedl HO1.5 2–4 HIT22 MAY Leobendorf vs Favoritner AC Home +1% 0–1 MISS