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Wiener SC vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 6 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 2.16 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

UPCOMING

Fach-Donaufeld

PPG 1.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-15.4%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.8%1-110.3%1-24.9%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.7%3-16.4%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-14.8%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% 61.7% 1.62 -7.3%

Draw 21.4% 25.0% 4.00 -8.6%

Away win 21.3% 25.0% 4.00 -8.9%

Over 2.5 59.6% 65.4% 1.53 -8.8%

Over 3.5 36.4% 45.7% 2.19 -20.3%

BTTS 54.6% 66.2% 1.51 -17.5%

Home O1.5 55.8% 67.6% 1.48 -17.4%

Away O1.5 26.1% 36.8% 2.72 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -47.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 57% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 3–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC1.9

Fach-Donaufeld1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 2.16

FACH-DONAUFELD · PPG 1.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 57.2%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -7.3%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.6%

Fach-Donaufeld (A) 21.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Fach-Donaufeld in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Fach-Donaufeld 21%, so Wiener SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Wiener SC and 1.0 for Fach-Donaufeld (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 2.16 points per game versus 1.87 for Fach-Donaufeld.

Wiener SC vs Fach-Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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