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Donau vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 16:00

Donau

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.66 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-16.8%0-26.9%0-34.7%0-4+3.8%1 1-04.6%1-19.3%1-29.4%1-36.4%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.1%2-16.3%2-26.4%2-34.4%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.4%3-12.9%3-22.9%3-32.0%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 50.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 38.7% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob60.3%

A 50% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 1–3 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Donau1.4

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf2.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DONAU · PPG 1.48

MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.66 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Donau (H) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (A) 50.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Donau face Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Donau a 26% chance, the draw 23% and Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 50%, so Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Donau and 2.0 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Donau are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.54 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf.

Donau vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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