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Wiener SC vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 2.04 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Wiener Viktoria

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 62.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.2%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.4%1-19.2%1-24.4%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.2%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-17.1%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.5%4+-16.3%4+-23.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% 65.4% 1.53 -14.5%

Draw 22.2% 23.8% 4.20 -4.1%

Away win 21.9% 22.2% 4.50 -0.9%

Over 2.5 59.7% 69.4% 1.44 -14.0%

Over 3.5 36.6% 46.1% 2.17 -20.6%

BTTS 54.7% 65.4% 1.53 -16.3%

Home O1.5 62.5% 69.4% 1.44 -10.0%

Away O1.5 26.9% 34.2% 2.92 -12.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -47.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.7%

H 56% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 10.2%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 1–2 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC2.2

Wiener Viktoria1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 2.04

WIENER VIKTORIA · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 55.9%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -14.5%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -4.1%

Wiener Viktoria (A) 21.9%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -0.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Wiener Viktoria in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Wiener Viktoria 22%, so Wiener SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Wiener SC and 1.0 for Wiener Viktoria (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 2.04 points per game versus 1.18 for Wiener Viktoria. This match finished 3-0.

Wiener SC vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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