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SV Horn vs Parndorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 6 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 17:00

SV Horn

PPG 1.85 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Parndorf

PPG 1.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-16.8%0-23.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.9%1-111.4%1-26.6%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.6%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.6%3-15.3%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.3%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 28.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 49.7% — — —

Away O1.5 33.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -47.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SV Horn1.7

Parndorf1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SV HORN · PPG 1.85

PARNDORF · PPG 1.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SV Horn (H) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Parndorf (A) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SV Horn face Parndorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SV Horn a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Parndorf 28%, so SV Horn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for SV Horn and 1.2 for Parndorf (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SV Horn are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.69 for Parndorf. This match finished 0-1.

SV Horn vs Parndorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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