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Leobendorf vs SV Horn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 16:00

Leobendorf

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

SV Horn

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-18.4%0-24.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.0%1-112.4%1-26.4%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.2%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.4%3-14.5%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 51.3% 1.95 -10.1%

Draw 28.5% 25.0% 4.00 +8.4%

Away win 25.4% 34.7% 2.88 -16.1%

Over 2.5 49.5% 63.7% 1.57 -22.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 43.5% 2.30 -20.4%

BTTS 49.2% 67.6% 1.48 -27.2%

Home O1.5 45.1% 56.8% 1.76 -20.6%

Away O1.5 31.8% 44.6% 2.24 -28.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -35.2%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 0–0 8.1%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leobendorf1.5

SV Horn1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LEOBENDORF · PPG 1.62

SV HORN · PPG 1.11

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Leobendorf (H) 46.1%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -10.1%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +8.4%

SV Horn (A) 25.4%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Leobendorf face SV Horn in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leobendorf a 46% chance, the draw 28% and SV Horn 25%, so Leobendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Leobendorf and 1.0 for SV Horn (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leobendorf are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.11 for SV Horn.

Leobendorf vs SV Horn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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