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Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Krems / Rehberg Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:00

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

PPG 1.49 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Krems / Rehberg

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.6%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.0%1-19.6%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.2%3-16.9%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-15.8%4+-22.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 21.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -47.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf2.1

Krems / Rehberg1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF · PPG 1.49

KREMS / REHBERG · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (H) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Krems / Rehberg (A) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf face Krems / Rehberg in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Krems / Rehberg 22%, so Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf and 1.0 for Krems / Rehberg (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 1.21 for Krems / Rehberg. This match finished 3-1.

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Krems / Rehberg Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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