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Parndorf vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 5 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:00

Parndorf

PPG 2.05 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLW

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-16.4%0-24.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.7%1-111.0%1-27.0%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.4%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.3%3-15.4%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.4%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -47.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Parndorf1.7

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PARNDORF · PPG 2.05

MANNSDORF-GROSSENZERSDORF · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Parndorf (H) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Parndorf face Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Parndorf a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 29%, so Parndorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Parndorf and 1.3 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Parndorf are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.75 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf. This match finished 1-4.

Parndorf vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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