Leagues / AUSTRALIA / Western Australia NPL
Western Australia NPL
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 58 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
56.9%
1X2
33/58
74.1%
O/U 2.5
43/58
72.4%
BTTS
42/58
37.9%
Exact score
22/58
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
36
Settled
75.0%
Hit rate
27/36
1.42
Avg odds
+6.4%
ROI
+2.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=24 70.8% HIT · AVG 1.40 · -1.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=5 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.45 · +44.6% ROI
BTTS · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · +44.0% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.47 · -21.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.44 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+53.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-19.4%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
13
Bets
69%
Hit
-2.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
16
Bets
81%
Hit
+15.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 6 PICKS · 3 HIT · 3 MISS
4 JUL Perth Glory B vs Balcatta Over 2.5 +3% 1–3 HIT4 JUL Armadale vs O. Kingsway Over 2.5 -6% 1–6 HIT4 JUL Western Knights vs Sorrento Over 2.5 2–0 MISS4 JUL Fremantle City vs Bayswater Over 2.5 -0% 1–1 MISS4 JUL Stirling vs Perth RedStar Over 2.5 -2% 0–1 MISS4 JUL Dianella WE vs Perth SC AO1.5 2–2 HITJune 2026 // 9 PICKS · 7 HIT · 2 MISS
27 JUN Fremantle City vs Western Knights Over 2.5 -5% 3–0 HIT27 JUN O. Kingsway vs Balcatta HO1.5 5–4 HIT27 JUN Armadale vs Perth SC Over 2.5 1–4 HIT27 JUN Perth Glory B vs Stirling AO1.5 1–1 MISS27 JUN Dianella WE vs Sorrento BTTS 2–1 HIT26 JUN Bayswater vs Perth RedStar Over 2.5 +3% 3–0 HIT20 JUN Perth Glory B vs Perth RedStar Over 2.5 -8% 1–2 HIT20 JUN Fremantle City vs Dianella WE Over 2.5 +5% 1–0 MISS20 JUN O. Kingsway vs Stirling Over 2.5 -8% 0–3 HIT