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Armadale vs Dianella White Eagle Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Armadale

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dianella White Eagle

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 71.6% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.0%0-23.0%0-32.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-03.2%1-16.5%1-26.6%1-34.4%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.2%2-34.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.6%3-15.3%3-25.3%3-33.6%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.9%4+-25.0%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 44.4% 2.25 -3.3%

Draw 21.2% 26.3% 3.80 -11.7%

Away win 35.8% 40.8% 2.45 -12.3%

Over 2.5 71.6% 75.2% 1.33 -4.8%

Over 3.5 51.7% 55.6% 1.80 -6.9%

BTTS 69.4% 76.9% 1.30 -9.8%

Home O1.5 63.0% 61.7% 1.62 +2.1%

Away O1.5 53.8% 57.8% 1.73 -6.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.4%

H 43% / xG 2.2-2.0 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.5%

#2 2–2 7.2%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Armadale2.2

Dianella White Eagle2.0

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 51.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ARMADALE · PPG 1.11

DIANELLA WHITE EAGLE · PPG 0.78

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Armadale (H) 43.0%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -3.3%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.7%

Dianella White Eagle (A) 35.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Armadale face Dianella White Eagle in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armadale a 43% chance, the draw 21% and Dianella White Eagle 36%, so Armadale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Armadale and 2.0 for Dianella White Eagle (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armadale are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 0.78 for Dianella White Eagle. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +2.1%.

Armadale vs Dianella White Eagle Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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