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Balcatta vs Dianella White Eagle Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 07:00

Balcatta

PPG 0.90 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dianella White Eagle

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.8%0-24.1%0-32.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.2%1-18.9%1-27.7%1-34.4%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.0%3-15.1%3-24.4%3-32.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.6%4+-23.1%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% 32.3% 3.10 +42.0%

Draw 21.9% 26.0% 3.85 -9.4%

Away win 32.3% 52.4% 1.91 -38.3%

Over 2.5 64.7% 70.4% 1.42 -8.1%

Over 3.5 43.5% 48.8% 2.05 -10.8%

BTTS 63.2% 72.5% 1.38 -12.8%

Home O1.5 54.9% 48.8% 2.05 +12.6%

Away O1.5 48.5% 63.7% 1.57 -23.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 82 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.2%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 1–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Balcatta1.9

Dianella White Eagle1.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BALCATTA · PPG 0.90

DIANELLA WHITE EAGLE · PPG 0.70

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Balcatta (H) 45.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +42.0%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -9.4%

Dianella White Eagle (A) 32.3%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -38.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Balcatta face Dianella White Eagle in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Balcatta a 46% chance, the draw 22% and Dianella White Eagle 32%, so Balcatta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Balcatta and 1.7 for Dianella White Eagle (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Balcatta are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 0.70 for Dianella White Eagle. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +49.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Balcatta vs Dianella White Eagle Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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