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Olympic Kingsway vs Sorrento Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

Olympic Kingsway

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sorrento

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-14.4%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.7%1-19.3%1-24.5%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-17.0%3-23.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-16.1%4+-22.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.4% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 58.2% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 26.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.2%

H 56% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic Kingsway2.1

Sorrento1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC KINGSWAY · PPG 1.56

SORRENTO · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olympic Kingsway (H) 56.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sorrento (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic Kingsway face Sorrento in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic Kingsway a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Sorrento 22%, so Olympic Kingsway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Olympic Kingsway and 1.0 for Sorrento (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic Kingsway are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.44 for Sorrento.

Olympic Kingsway vs Sorrento Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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