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Dianella White Eagle vs Stirling Lions Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 07:00

Dianella White Eagle logo
Dianella White Eagle
PPG 1.30 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Stirling Lions logo
Stirling Lions
PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 62.1% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.6%0-26.7%0-33.9%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.0%1-110.5%1-29.2%1-35.4%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.3%2-26.4%2-33.7%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.9%3-13.4%3-23.0%3-31.7%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.3% 40.0% 2.50 -19.3%
Draw 24.7% 27.8% 3.60 -6.7%
Away win 43.0% 43.5% 2.30 -1.1%
Over 2.5 61.5% 69.4% 1.44 -11.4%
Over 3.5 39.4% 50.0% 2.00 -21.2%
BTTS 62.1% 71.4% 1.40 -13.1%
Home O1.5 40.9% 54.6% 1.83 -25.1%
Away O1.5 48.0% 57.8% 1.73 -17.0%

League track record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 70%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 1.1%
Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 40%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.1%

A 43% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%
#2 1–2 9.2%
#3 2–1 7.3%
#4 0–2 6.7%
#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dianella White Eagle1.4
Stirling Lions1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DIANELLA WHITE EAGLE · PPG 1.30

STIRLING LIONS · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dianella White Eagle (H) 32.3%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -19.3%
Draw 24.7%
ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.7%
Stirling Lions (A) 43.0%
ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -1.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dianella White Eagle face Stirling Lions in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dianella White Eagle a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Stirling Lions 43%, so Stirling Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dianella White Eagle and 1.8 for Stirling Lions (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dianella White Eagle are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.56 for Stirling Lions.

PredictVantage

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