Leagues / UNITED ARAB EMIRATES / Pro League
Pro League
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 21 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
42.9%
1X2
9/21
57.1%
O/U 2.5
12/21
52.4%
BTTS
11/21
52.4%
Exact score
11/21
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
20
Settled
60.0%
Hit rate
12/20
1.55
Avg odds
-7.3%
ROI
-1.5u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=9 55.6% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -7.9% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -1.6% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.43 · -2.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.19 · -20.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+67.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
18
Bets
61%
Hit
-6.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 14 PICKS · 9 HIT · 5 MISS
11 MAY Al Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba Over 2.5 +4% 2–1 HIT11 MAY Al Jazira vs Al Wasl Over 2.5 -1% 1–2 HIT11 MAY Khorfakkan vs Al Wahda Over 2.5 -9% 1–1 MISS10 MAY Al Bataeh vs Al Sharjah BTTS -11% 0–0 MISS10 MAY Al Ain vs Al Dhafra Home -19% 5–0 HIT10 MAY D. Al Fujairah vs Ajman BTTS -16% 0–2 MISS10 MAY Bani Yas vs Shabab Al Ahli Away -11% 2–2 MISS6 MAY Al Wahda vs Al Wasl BTTS -15% 2–3 HIT6 MAY Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Nasr Over 2.5 -11% 2–1 HIT6 MAY Al Sharjah vs Al Ain Away -3% 0–5 HIT5 MAY Ajman vs Al Jazira BTTS -13% 1–1 HIT5 MAY Ittihad Kalba vs Khorfakkan Over 2.5 +2% 0–0 MISS5 MAY Bani Yas vs Al Dhafra BTTS -2% 2–2 HIT5 MAY D. Al Fujairah vs Al Bataeh BTTS -2% 2–1 HITApril 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
29 APR Shabab Al Ahli vs Khorfakkan Home -15% 3–3 MISS