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United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League logo United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 25 Al Maktoum Stadium· Dubai Monday, May 11, 2026 14:10
Al Nasr logo Al Nasr PPG 1.25
2-1 HIT CS2
Ittihad Kalba logo Ittihad Kalba PPG 1.27
Over2.5· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.82 EV: -6.5%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -7.5%
Away 23.7%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -4.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.75 +4.0%
Over 3.5 34.9% Odds: 2.80 -2.3%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.62 -5.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Nasr
1.80
Ittihad Kalba
1.18

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +4.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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