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Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Wasl FC Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 14:00

Al-Ittihad Kalba

PPG 1.03 · HOME

LAST 5

DLL ··

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al-Wasl FC

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWL ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-19.0%0-27.9%0-34.7%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.2%1-110.9%1-29.6%1-35.6%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.8%2-16.6%2-25.8%2-33.4%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.5%3-12.7%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% 21.1% 4.75 +22.4%

Draw 25.3% 24.4% 4.10 +2.2%

Away win 45.9% 63.7% 1.57 -27.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 65.4% 1.53 -17.5%

Over 3.5 31.6% 43.5% 2.30 -27.3%

BTTS 54.7% 64.5% 1.55 -15.2%

Home O1.5 32.6% 33.9% 2.95 -3.8%

Away O1.5 48.5% 66.7% 1.50 -27.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.7%

A 46% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 2–1 6.6%

#4 0–2 7.9%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Ittihad Kalba1.2

Al-Wasl FC1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-ITTIHAD KALBA · PPG 1.03

AL-WASL FC · PPG 1.42

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.55 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al-Ittihad Kalba (H) 28.9%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +22.4%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +2.2%

Al-Wasl FC (A) 45.9%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -27.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Ittihad Kalba face Al-Wasl FC in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Ittihad Kalba a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Al-Wasl FC 46%, so Al-Wasl FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al-Ittihad Kalba and 1.8 for Al-Wasl FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Ittihad Kalba are averaging 1.03 points per game versus 1.42 for Al-Wasl FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +23.5%. This match finished 0-3.

Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Wasl FC Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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