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United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League logo United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 25 Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium· Abu Dhabi Monday, May 11, 2026 16:45
Al Jazira logo Al Jazira PPG 2.00
1-2 MISS
Al Wasl logo Al Wasl PPG 1.25
Home· +22.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%
Odds: 2.40 EV: +22.9%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -7.0%
Away 23.9%
Odds: 2.56 EV: -23.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.67 -0.8%
Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 2.65 -11.2%
BTTS 57.6% Odds: 1.53 -11.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Jazira
1.74
Al Wasl
1.18

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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