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Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:30

Al Wahda FC

PPG 1.35 · HOME

LAST 5

LLW ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Baniyas SC

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.2%0-24.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.1%1-110.8%1-27.2%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.0%3-15.4%3-23.6%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.5%4+-22.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 61.3% 1.63 -24.2%

Draw 24.2% 26.7% 3.75 -5.5%

Away win 29.3% 20.8% 4.80 +24.4%

Over 2.5 59.7% 59.9% 1.67 -0.3%

Over 3.5 36.7% 38.2% 2.62 -3.9%

BTTS 60.7% 61.7% 1.62 -1.7%

Home O1.5 48.9% 61.7% 1.62 -20.8%

Away O1.5 40.9% 31.3% 3.20 +30.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.7%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1✓ 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wahda FC1.7

Baniyas SC1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WAHDA FC · PPG 1.35

BANIYAS SC · PPG 1.32

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Wahda FC (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.63 · IMPLIED 61.3% EV -24.2%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.5%

Baniyas SC (A) 29.3%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wahda FC face Baniyas SC in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wahda FC a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Baniyas SC 29%, so Al Wahda FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Wahda FC and 1.3 for Baniyas SC (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wahda FC are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.32 for Baniyas SC. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +30.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Al Wahda FC vs Baniyas SC Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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